Will The 2023 Falcons Exceed Their Projected Win Total?

Will The 2023 Falcons Exceed Their Projected Win Total?
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

It’s been six years since the Atlanta Falcons last tasted the glory of the NFL playoffs, with the franchise posting a 32-51 (.386) record over that period. We are paying close attention to the Falcons playoff chances on BetGeorgia.com. 

On the heels of consecutive 7-10 seasons and in Year 3 of the Arthur Smith era, there’s reason for optimism in Georgia’s capital city, especially given the Falcons’ crop of talented rookies that’ll likely carry much of the load this fall.  

Between former Texas standout running back Bijan Robinson and Ohio State defensive end Zach Harrison, there’s plenty of talent for Smith to build around in Atlanta in 2023 and beyond.  

BetGeorgia.com wanted to stack up the Falcons’ futures for the 2023 NFL season (courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook) to see if this is the year Atlanta fans have been waiting on since 2017.  

Atlanta Falcons 2023-24 Season Futures

We tracked the Falcons odds this offseason. Below you'll find the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Bookmark our Falcons Super Bowl Odds page to get the most updated odds and latest developments.

Win Total 8.5Playoff OddsSuper Bowl
Over: +105/ Under: -125Yes: +140/ No: (-165)+8000 (T-24th)

We expect the top Georgia sportsbook apps to have all the Falcons odds once sports betting is legal in the state.

Will 2023 Be The Year Of The Falcons In The NFL?

Between the addition of dynamic offensive rookies like Robinson and the optimism surrounding second year quarterback Desmond Ridder, there’s reason for optimism in Atlanta.  

Oddsmakers at BetMGM Sportsbook see reason for optimism, giving the Falcons a win total over/under of 8.5, along with +140 odds of making the playoffs in 2023.  

As for Robinson, the 21-year-old running back finished his collegiate career in Austin with 3,410 rushing yards across three seasons with the Longhorns, scoring 33 touchdowns on the ground while snagging another eight out of the backfield.  

The rookie running back was named the 2022 Doak Walker Award winner, while the Associated Press named Robinson a consensus All-American for his exploits at Texas last season.  

Aside from Robinson, Ridder will likely be given the reins to the Falcons offense, as veteran QB Marcus Mariota left to join the Eagles during the offseason.  

The second-year gunslinger finished his rookie season with a 63.5 completion percentage to go with 708 passing yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions on 115 attempts.  

If Ridder can play the way he did at Cincinnati, where he threw for more than 10,000 yards with 87 touchdowns to 25 interceptions, then the Falcons’ offense could hit a spark and carry the team to glory in 2023.  

The Falcons managed to finish a game out of first place in the NFC South last year, despite ranking 31st in the NFL in passing yards per game (158.8), thanks to their dynamic rushing game (which ranked 3rd in the league, at 159.9 yards per game).  

If Ridder can take that next step in his maturation under center and Robinson can hit the ground running out of the backfield, then the Falcons’ offense could be a sight to behold this fall.  

Atlanta will have to clean up their act defensively to hit that high mark, however, as the Falcons are coming off a 2022 season where they finished with a -21 point differential, surrendering 22.7 points per game in the process.  

The Falcons took steps to address those defensive difficulties in free agency, landing safety Jessie Bates III and defensive linemen Calais Campbell and Davide Onyemata during the offseason.  

Now, the task falls on Smith to put the pieces together to get the Falcons back into the postseason for the first time since 2017, as the Falcons look to fly high in the fall during their 2023 campaign.  

Be sure to follow BetGeorgia.com for all the latest information surrounding Georgia sports betting and all things in the Peach State.



Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: