Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances June 2023: Tracking the Falcons Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Wes Roesch
Falcons receiver Drake London

Key Takeaways:

  • The Falcons playoff chances are 44.4% based on odds from DraftKings.
  • That means Atlanta has a 55.6% chance to miss the playoffs according to oddsmakers.
  • The Falcons Super Bowl 58 odds are around +6600, giving them a 1.49% chance to win the big game.

The Atlanta Falcons stayed in the playoff hunt into December last year but ultimately finished with a 7-10 record, missing the postseason for the fifth season in a row. Is 2023 the year the cold streak changes?

Below, we break down the Falcons playoff chances for the upcoming season and examine how they have shifted throughout the offseason.

What are the Falcons Playoff Chances?

The Falcons playoff chances are 44.4% per DraftKings Sportsbook. In the table below I've noted the team's chances to make and miss the playoffs, plus their chances to win the Super Bowl, NFC and NFC South.

⭐ Falcons Playoff Chances44.4% Chance
β›” Falcons Miss Playoffs55.6% Chance
πŸ‘‘ Falcons Win Super Bowl1.49% Chance
πŸ† Falcons Win NFC3.23% Chance
πŸ”₯ Falcons Win NFC South26.7% Chance
πŸ—½ New York Times Postseason SimulatorNot Available Yet
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)-3.2
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertJune 7, 2023

In order to calculate the Falcons playoff chances, we converted their latest postseason odds to an implied probability, which produces a percentage that reflects the team's chances to make the playoffs according to the sportsbook.

For additional context, we also provided relevant data from credible media sources, including the New York Times Postseason Simulator and ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), which measures the strength of team via net points scale and expected point margin vs. average opponent (neutral field).

For a deeper look into the Falcons' Super Bowl odds, I have a separate piece which tracks those odds following latest developments.

Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates June 2023

The Falcons plan to make plenty of offseason moves to better the team/organization as we head into the 2023-24 NFL season. Stay up to date on how those moves impact betting on the Falcons.

  • πŸ“† April 27-29: The Falcons selected six players in the 2023 NFL Draft, including RB Bijan Robinson at pick 8.
  • πŸ“† February 28: QB Marcus Mariota was released, paving the way for Desmond Ridder to step up into the starting role.
  • πŸ“† February 27: The Falcons moved former senior offensive assistant Steve Jackson to secondary coach along with 10 other moves for smaller roles on the staff.
  • πŸ“† January 30: The Falcons added veteran Jerry Grey to staff as the assistant head coach with a focus on defense. Gray will work closely with the new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen.
  • πŸ“† January 27: Atlanta hired Ryan Nielsen as the team's new defensive coordinator. Nielsen spent 2022 as the co-defensive coordinator and defensive line coach for the New Orleans Saints.

Bookmark this page and check back for all the key developments and breaking news impacting the Falcons chances to make the playoffs.

Where Can I Bet on the Falcons to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Falcons to make the playoffs at most major sportsbooks in the US but you must be 21+ and within state lines of a state with legal sports betting. Unfortunately, Georgia does not currently offering legal sports betting, so you would need to travel to a neighboring state like Mississippi or Tennessee to place a legal bet on the Falcons to make the playoffs.

Looking Ahead: Falcons Playoff Picture

The Falcons playoff picture is up and down. Despite a 7-10 record last season, the Falcons ranked in the bottom 10 in the NFL in both total offense and total defense. On top of that, the Falcons have a big question mark at quarterback with Desmond Ridder.

There are some promising young pieces on offense outside QB such as Tyler Allgeier, Kyle Pitts, Drake London and now rookie RB Bijan Robinson, but the defensive side of the ball has lots of work to do.

The good news for the Falcons is that the NFC South should be the most wide open division in football. Tampa Bay won the division last season with a record of just 8-9 while the two other teams finished with the same record as Atlanta. The Bucs are expected to enter into a rebuild while Carolina and New Orleans continue to have questions at the quarterback position.

Do the Falcons Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, technically the Falcons have a chance to make the playoffs because the season hasn't started, but experts are not high on Atlanta's hopes to break the streak of five-straight losing seasons, let alone make the postseason. But because of the division’s uncertainty, almost every NFC South team has at least a chance at making the playoffs, including the Falcons.

For the Falcons to take the next step, they will have to at least play better against their division. Atlanta went just 2-4 against NFC South counterparts last season and one of those wins came in Week 18 against Tampa Bay with the Buccaneers resting starters, having already clinched the division.

Are the Falcons Out of Playoffs?

No, the Falcons are not out of playoffs because the season hasn't started, so technically no team is out of the playoffs yet. Unfortunately for the Atlanta faithful, bookmakers are not confident the Falcons will make a postseason run in 2023.

That narrative could change with time, but until then, consider Atlanta among the least likely teams to make the playoffs.

Atlanta Falcons Playoffs FAQs


Mike Ferguson is a football betting analyst for Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Georgia.

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