Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances September 2025: Tracking the Falcons Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Shannon Lane

The Falcons are out to end a seven-year playoff drought, putting QB Michael Penix Jr. at the center of the push. But a Week 1 loss to division rivals the Bucs has impacted Atlanta’s odds early on.

Currently, the Falcons’ playoff chances sit at 31.3%. With upgrades to both the offensive line and defense, Atlanta could still rack up wins and push its way into the postseason mix. Follow along all season as we track the Falcons’ playoff odds and other futures for 2025 at the top Georgia sportsbooks.

What are the Falcons Playoff Chances?

The Falcons' playoff chances are 31.3%, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, oddsmakers have cautious optimism about Atlanta’s 2025 roster and its ability to contend for a playoff spot this season. Here’s a look at additional postseason odds from major sportsbooks:

Falcons Make Playoffs31.3% chance (+220)
Falcons Miss Playoffs73.3% chance (-275
👑 Falcons Win Super Bowl1.1% chance (+9000)
🏆 Falcons Win NFC2.4% chance (+4000)
🔥 Falcons Win NFC South22.2% chance (+350)
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)-2.8 FPI (25th)
Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 13, 2025

The Falcons playoff odds are based on the betting markets available at DraftKings and then converted to implied probability, which is where the percentages come in. All major sportsbooks post playoff odds and division odds as well as conference title and Super Bowl odds.

These are early season odds, giving a snapshot of what sportsbooks expect from the Atlanta Falcons this season. The numbers will shift and continue to move each week.

Falcons Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Even though Georgia sports betting isn’t yet legal, we’re tracking the Falcons’ playoff chances each week. Below are Atlanta’s implied playoff probabilities based on betting markets, which will be updated after each game.

WeekAtlanta Falcons Playoff Chances
Preseason39.2% (+155)
Week 133.3% (+220)
Week 2TBD
Week 3TBD
Week 4TBD
Week 5TBD
Week 6TBD
Week 7TBD
Week 8TBD
Week 9TBD
Week 10TBD
Week 11TBD
Week 12TBD
Week 13TBD
Week 14TBD
Week 15TBD
Week 16TBD
Week 17TBD
Week 18TBD

Do the Falcons Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Falcons, and every NFL team, still have a shot at the playoffs. With +220 odds, Atlanta enters the season with plenty of potential. Their success will likely hinge on key matchups against NFC playoff teams from last season, including the Rams, Vikings, and Commanders, as well as crucial games against AFC North opponents.

Are the Falcons Out of Playoffs?

No, the Falcons aren’t out of the playoff picture, the 2025 season just kicked off. After missing the postseason last year, Atlanta is focused on ending its playoff drought and becoming a contender this season. Ahead of Week 1, the Falcons have a 73.3% chance to miss the playoffs. With five primetime games on the schedule and an international matchup in Berlin, the Falcons’ path to the postseason will be front and center.

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Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances: Key Updates September 2025

Here’s the latest must-watch news and updates that could impact the Atlanta Falcons’ playoff chances for fans and bettors:

  • 📆 September 5: The Falcons sign DE Sam Roberts to the active roster.
  • 📆 August 26: Atlanta trades a conditional 2027 seventh-round pick to the Seattle Seahawks for OT Michael Jerrell.
  • 📆 August 23: The Falcons place OL Jake Hanson on injured reserve.
  • 📆 August 14: Atlanta signs CB C.J. Henderson.
  • 📆 August 10: The Falcons sign S Ronnie Harrison and C Jake Hanson.
  • 📆 August 4: RT Kaleb McGary re-signs with the Falcons.
  • 📆 July 31: Atlanta signs S Henry Black.
  • 📆 July 24: DL LaCale London, LB Malik Verdon and CB Cobee Bryant placed on the active/NFI list.
  • 📆 June 17: Atlanta signs RB Jashaun Corbin.
  • 📆 May 29: C Ryan Neuzil re-signs with the Falcons.
  • 📆 April 30: Atlanta exercises fifth-year option on WR Drake London.
  • 📆 April 24: The Falcons draft Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. in the first round of the 2025 draft.
  • 📆 April 7: CB Dee Alford signs with the Falcons.
  • 📆 March 21: Atlanta signs WR Jamal Agnew, TE Feleipe Franks and S Jordan Fuller.
  • 📆 March 18: DB Mike Ford signs with Atlanta.
  • 📆 March 14: The Falcons sign CB Keith Taylor.
  • 📆 March 13: Atlanta re-signs OT Brandon Parker and OL Storm Norton.
  • 📆 March 12: The Falcons sign LB Divine Deablo, DE Leonard Floyd and CB Mike Hughes.

Bookmark this article and stay tuned all season as we track every major update on the Atlanta Falcons and what it means for their shot at reaching the postseason for the first time since 2017–18.

Key Contributors Toward Falcons Playoff Chances

The Falcons are aiming to make significant progress this season following several roster changes. On offense, QB Michael Penix Jr. will take the reins, with Kirk Cousins serving as his backup. The offense already features weapons like RB Bijan Robinson and TE Kyle Pitts, and Atlanta is focused on upgrading the offensive line to boost both the running and passing games. If everything comes together, Penix has the potential to lead a top-10 offense.

On defense, Atlanta added significant talent, including first-round edge rushers Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr., along with linebacker Leonard Floyd to bolster the pass rush. Linebacker Divine Deablo and safety Jordan Fuller bring experience, aiming to improve tackling and overall consistency across the unit. The roster has the skill and talent, now it’s about showing greater consistency in their execution under pressure to turn potential into playoff contention.

Atlanta Falcons Playoff Picture and Predictions

For the Falcons to finally end their playoff drought, QB Michael Penix Jr. must lead the offense consistently, and the defense needs to strengthen its pass rush. Applying more pressure on opposing quarterbacks will be key, especially with matchups against top-tier QBs like Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels, and Baker Mayfield this season.

With Tampa Bay chasing their fifth consecutive NFC South title, Atlanta’s best path to the playoffs is likely through the wild card. But the entire team needs to step up. The coaching staff must make smart adjustments and manage the clock effectively, the offense needs to stay consistent all season, and the defense must play at a high level while maintaining pressure week after week. The Falcons’ playoff chances will hinge on the whole team working together, as they say, it takes a village.

Where Can I Bet on the Falcons to Make the Playoffs?

Once sports betting launches in the state, you can bet on the Falcons to make the playoffs on most major Georgia sportsbook apps, including DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM, among others. Until then, bettors can use these sportsbooks to wager on the Falcons in states where sports betting is legal.

Keep in mind that odds will vary by site and continue to fluctuate with Falcons news and injury updates, which can impact their playoff chances.

Atlanta Falcons Playoffs FAQs

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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