Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances: Latest Falcons Super Bowl Odds

Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton
Falcons Playoff Chances

Key Takeaways:

  • The Falcons playoff chances are not available yet but should be soon.
  • The Falcons Super Bowl 58 odds opened at +8000, which gives Atlanta some of the worst odds in the NFL.
  • Falcons released Marcus Mariota after the former Heisman-winner held onto the starting QB role most of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons stayed in the playoff hunt into December last year, but ultimately finished with a record of 7-10 missing the postseason for the fifth season in a row. Is 2023 the year that changes? Below, we break down the Falcons playoff chances for the upcoming season then dive into the latest Falcons Super Bowl odds and how they have shifted throughout the offseason.

Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances March 2023

As we head into the NFL offseason, the Falcons playoff chances are currently not available, but Georgia sportsbooks potentially launching later this year should list odds for this market soon. We will post Atlanta's latest playoff chances as soon as they are available.

⭐ Falcons Playoff ChancesNot Available
πŸ“Š Odds to Make PlayoffsNot Available
πŸ—½ New York TimesNot Available
🏈 ESPN Power IndexNot Available
βœ… Last VerifiedMarch 31, 2023

In order to calculate the Falcons playoff chances, we converted their latest postseason odds to an implied probability, which produces a percentage that reflects the team's chances to make the playoffs according to the sportsbook.

For additional context, we also provided relevant data from credible media sources, including the New York Times Postseason Simulator and ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), which measures the strength of team via net points scale & expected point margin vs average opponent (neutral field).

Do the Falcons Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, technically the Falcons still have a chance to make the playoffs because the season hasn't started but experts are not high on Atlanta's hopes to break the streak of five-straight losing seasons, let alone make the postseason. But because of the division’s uncertainty, almost every NFC South team has at least a chance at making the playoffs, including the Falcons, if they figure out the QB situation.

For the Falcons to take the next step, they will have to at least play better against their division. Atlanta went just 2-4 against NFC South counterparts last season and one of those wins came in Week 18 against Tampa Bay with the Buccaneers resting starters, having already clinched the division.

Where Can I Bet on the Falcons to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Falcons to make the playoffs at most major sportsbooks in the US but you must be 21+ and within state lines of a state with legal sports betting. Unfortunately, Georgia does not currently offering legal sports betting, so you would need to travel to a neighboring state like Mississippi or Tennessee to place a legal bet on the Falcons to make the playoffs. 

Worth noting, playoff odds are not currently available but we fully anticipate this is an NFL future prop all the top betting sites will offer as the 2023 season nears. As mentioned, we will update this article as soon as they are posted.

Looking Ahead: Falcons Playoff Picture

The Falcons playoff picture is pretty bleak at this point in the offseason. Despite a 7-10 record last season, the Falcons ranked in the bottom 10 in the NFL in both total offense and total defense. On top of that, the Falcons have a big decision to make at quarterback.

Do they trade for a veteran like Lamar Jackson? Will they give Rider the reigns and build around him? Do they draft another quarterback to groom?

Marcus Mariota hardly shined last season so they released him recently but backup Desmond Ridder may not be ready to step into the starter role. There are some promising young pieces on offense outside QB such as Allgeier and Pitts but the defensive side of the ball has lots of work to do.

The good news for the Falcons is that the NFC South should be the most wide-open division in football. Tampa Bay won the division last season with a record of just 8-9 while the two others finished with the same record as Atlanta. The Bucs are expected to enter into a rebuild while Carolina and New Orleans continue to have questions at the quarterback position.

Atlanta Falcons Postseason Picture: Key Updates March 2023

The Falcons plan to make plenty of offseason moves to better the team/organization as we head into the 2023-24 NFL season. Stay up to date on how those moves impact betting on the Falcons.

  • πŸ“† February 28: Marcus Mariota was released, either paving the way for veteran to come in via trade or Ridder to step up into the starting role.
  • πŸ“† February 27: The Falcons have moved former Senior Offensive Assistant, Steve Jackson to Secondary Coach along with ten other moves for smaller roles on the staff.
  • πŸ“† January 30: The Falcons add veteran Jerry Grey to staff as the Assistant Head Coach with a focus on defense. Gray will work closely with the new Defensive Coordinator, Ryan Nielsen.
  • πŸ“† January 27: Atlanta hires Ryan Nielsen as the team's new Defensive Coordinator. Nielsen spent 2022 as the Co-Defensive Coordinator and Defensive Line Coach for New Orleans.

Bookmark this page and check back for all the key developments and breaking news impacting the Falcons chances to make the playoffs.

Are the Falcons Out of Playoffs?

No, the Falcons are not out of playoffs because the season hasn't started, so technically no team is out of the playoffs yet. Unfortunately for the Atlanta-faithful, bookmakers are not confident the Falcons will make a postseason run in 2023.

Now, if the Falcons were to acquire a topnotch QB like Jackson then add some pieces in the draft, that narrative could change, but, until then, consider Atlanta among the least likely teams to make the playoffs.

Falcons Super Bowl Odds: Betting on the Falcons in 2023

The Falcons Super Bowl odds opened at +8000 across most sportsbooks around the country. Some betting sites did have the Falcons listed closer to +7500, but, either way, the Falcons have some of the worst odds in the NFL to win Super Bowl LVIII regardless of which sportsbook you use.

⭐ BetMGM+8000+8000
⭐ Caesars+8000+8000
⭐ DraftKings+7500+7500
⭐ FanDuel+7500+7500

Looking at some of top sportsbooks more closely, BetMGM Georgia currently has Atlanta at +8000 to win the Super Bowl. They did not move their odds for Atlanta when they release Mariota and haven't moved them since opening the market in late February.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Falcons do have a little better odds at +7500 but this still puts them at the bottom of the list in terms of favorites. This oddsmaker followed suit and did not move their odds when the franchise released last year's starting QB.

While the NFC South will be wide open in 2023, Atlanta is in no way equipped to make or win the Super Bowl and bookmakers know it. The Falcons simply have way too many holes. In a league where a stellar passing game is essential, the Falcons have questions at quarterback and lack a proven pass rusher.

Latest Falcons Super Bowl Odds Updates March 2023

Find all the breaking news and latest updates impacting the Falcons odds to win the Super Bowl:

  • πŸ“† February 28: Despite Marcus Mariota playing a critical role in the offense last year, most sportsbooks did not move their odds for the Falcons to win the Super Bowl following the release of the QB, which signified Mariota had very little impact on their expecations for the team next year.
  • πŸ“† February 13: Sportsbooks opened their Super Bowl 58 markets, with most of them listing the Falcons among the teams with the worst odds in the league. Atlanta opened around +8000 but some bookmakers had them as short as +7500.

Check back regularly to see if the latest offseason personnel changes caused the Falcons Super Bowl odds to move.

Where Can I Bet on the Atlanta Falcons to Win the Super Bowl?

You bet on the Falcons to win the Super Bowl at BetMGM, DraftKings and FanDuel, among other betting sites. Actually, most, if not all, U.S. sportsbooks list odds for the Atlanta Falcons to win the Super Bowl but you must be 21+ years old and in a state that offers legal betting options.

How Many Super Bowls Have the Atlanta Falcons Won?

The Atlanta Falcons are one of 12 teams to never win the Super Bowl. Atlanta has twice played on Super Sunday. The Falcons infamously blew a 28-3 lead in an overtime loss to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LI. Prior to that, Atlanta fell to the Denver Broncos 34-19 in Super Bowl XXXIII – the last game in the legendary career of Denver quarterback John Elway.

Atlanta Falcons Postseason FAQs


Mike Ferguson is a football betting analyst for Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Georgia.

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